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Fact test: A have a look at current Trump, Biden claims on coronavirus, Supreme Court
“I believe we’re rounding the corner.” “We’re a winner on the excess mortality.” “We have the vaccines coming and we have the therapies coming.” “We have done an amazing job.”
U.S. President Donald Trump sees within the pandemic what he needs to see. He appeared to acknowledge as a lot when he was challenged on stage a number of days in the past for repeatedly and totally misrepresenting a examine about masks.
No, the examine didn’t discover that most individuals who put on masks get COVID-19. Most folks don’t. But, “that’s what I heard and that’s what I saw, and — regardless….”
Regard for the details just isn’t an indicator of Trump’s marketing campaign for the Nov. Three election or of his presidency.
His assurance, heard for weeks, that the U.S. is rounding the nook on the coronavirus is belied by rising an infection within the overwhelming majority of states and better deaths in 30 by week’s finish, in addition to by a surge in Europe. This because the flu season approaches, one other layer of danger to well being.
As for Trump’s declare that he’s executed an incredible job on the pandemic, that’s a part of a report in workplace that voters are judging now and till polls shut for the Nov. Three election. He and Democratic rival Joe Biden bid for late benefit in competing boards that changed a cancelled presidential debate.
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Meantime, the Senate vetted Judge Amy Coney Barrett’s nomination for the Supreme Court with committee hearings that usually appeared to place the Affordable Care Act, also referred to as “Obamacare,” on trial.
Some statements from the previous week and the way they examine with the details:
Table of Contents
TRUMP, requested in regards to the many attendees at a White House occasion who acquired sick with COVID-19: “Just the other day they came out with a statement that 85 per cent of the people that wear masks catch it.” — NBC discussion board in Miami on Thursday.
NBC’S SAVANNAH GUTHRIE: “Well, they didn’t say that, I know that study.”
TRUMP: “Well that’s what I heard and that’s what I saw, and — regardless, but everybody’s tested and they’re tested often.”
THE FACTS: That was a minimum of the third time the identical day that he flatly misstated the findings of a federal examine and the primary time he was known as out on it. The examine by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention didn’t discover that 85 per cent of masks wearers catch COVID-19. If that had been so, the vast majority of Americans can be contaminated.
It discovered one thing fairly totally different: that 85 per cent of a small group of COVID-19 sufferers surveyed reported they’d worn a masks usually or at all times across the time they’d have change into contaminated. Dining in eating places, the place masks are put aside for meals, was one exercise suspected of spreading group an infection. The examine not declare masks ineffective.
Trump advised a North Carolina rally earlier within the day: “Did you see CDC? That 85 per cent of the people wearing a mask catch it, OK?” And to Fox Business News: ”CDC comes out with a press release that 85 per cent of the folks sporting masks catch it.”
TRUMP: “We’re a winner on the excess mortality.” — Miami discussion board.
THE FACTS: That marker of mass demise is a problematic bragging level.
Excess mortality estimates check out what number of extra individuals are dying than regular. The estimates assist for example that the demise toll attributed to COVID-19 understates what number of are literally dying from the illness.
As many as 215,00Zero extra folks than regular died within the U.S. in the course of the first seven months of the yr, suggesting that the variety of lives misplaced to the coronavirus was considerably increased than the official toll, which was then about 150,000. More than half the lifeless within the extra mortality depend had been folks of color, the next proportion than their share of the inhabitants, based on an evaluation by The Associated Press and the Marshall Project, a non-profit information group masking the legal justice system.
Exactly how lots of the abnormally excessive deaths had been from the virus can’t be identified, and worldwide comparisons can’t be made with precision.
But the findings don’t make the U.S. a “winner.”
JOE BIDEN: “This nominee said she wants to get rid of the Affordable Care Act.” — remarks to reporters Monday.
BIDEN: “Why do Republicans have time to hold a hearing on the Supreme Court? … It’s about finally getting his (Trump’s) wish to wipe out the affordable health care act because their nominee has said in the past that the law should be struck down.” — to supporters in Ohio on Monday.
THE FACTS: No, Barrett has not stated explicitly that she would strike down the well being regulation. Biden could finally be proper that if she joins the courtroom, she would vote to get rid of the regulation, however there are additionally causes to imagine she may not.
Biden is alluding to a 2017 commentary Barrett wrote that included a critique of the Supreme Court’s 2012 ruling upholding elements of the regulation. Barrett was a University of Notre Dame regulation professor on the time.
In her critique, she particularly took difficulty with Chief Justice John Roberts’ reasoning that the penalty hooked up to at least one a part of the regulation — the mandate that everybody get well being protection — be thought of a tax and due to this fact inside the powers of Congress to implement. She stated he stretched the regulation “beyond its plausible meaning” to uphold it within the 5-Four vote.
That’s not essentially the identical as her desirous to trash the whole regulation. It’s troublesome to take what a potential jurist wrote a couple of complicated regulation and use it to state as truth how she may rule years later when some circumstances have modified. But Biden and different Democrats didn’t hesitate to take action.
All that’s sure is that Barrett criticized how her potential colleagues on the excessive courtroom dominated on the regulation eight years in the past.
From North Carolina
TRUMP, reacting to information that a number of folks related to the Biden marketing campaign on a current flight with Biden’s operating mate, Sen. Kamala Harris, examined constructive for COVID-19: “We extend our best wishes, which is more than they did to me, but that’s OK.” — North Carolina rally Thursday.
THE FACTS: That’s false.
Hours after Trump’s early morning announcement on Oct. 2 that he had examined constructive, each Biden and Harris despatched their needs for a fast restoration by way of Twitter.
“Jill and I send our thoughts to President Trump and First Lady Melania Trump for a swift recovery,” Biden wrote. “We will continue to pray for the health and safety of the president and his family.”
Harris tweeted an identical message “wishing President Trump and the First Lady a full and speedy recovery. We’re keeping them and the entire Trump family in our thoughts.”
The Biden marketing campaign on the time additionally stated it might cease operating destructive adverts, with the candidate tweeting that “this cannot be a partisan moment” when Trump was going to a hospital for remedy of his coronavirus an infection. Biden’s camp resumed the promoting after Trump was launched.
GOP v. ‘Obamacare’
SEN. TED CRUZ: “’Obamacare’ has doubled the profits of the big health insurance companies, doubled them. `Obamacare’ has been great corporate welfare for giant health insurance companies at the same time, according to the Kaiser foundation, premiums — average families’ premiums — have risen more than — have risen $7,967 per year on average. That is catastrophic that millions of Americans can’t afford health care. It is a catastrophic failure of `Obamacare.”’ — Barrett nomination listening to Wednesday.
THE FACTS: No, household premiums for medical health insurance haven’t risen by $7,967 per yr, as Cruz asserted. Nowhere shut.
That determine comes from the Kaiser Family Foundation however it captures the rise over 11 years — 2009 to 2020 — not per yr, because the Republican senator from Texas put it. In addition, the determine applies to the price of premiums for employer-provided protection, not for “Obamacare” or for medical health insurance general.
Kaiser’s Larry Levitt says the price of employer protection wasn’t a lot affected by the well being regulation and “the increase in premiums is largely due to changes in underlying health care costs over this period.”
The regulation’s premiums for the standard “silver” particular person plan bought by a hypothetical 40-year-old went up from a median of $273 a month nationally in 2014, to $462 this yr.
Levitt stated there’s not a transparent equal for a household premium within the well being regulation’s marketplaces; what a household pays is the sum of every member’s particular person premiums.
Cruz’s tackle insurer earnings additionally missed the mark. Some main insurers misplaced cash for a time promoting “Obamacare” protection, and several other corporations exited the well being regulation’s markets. The regulation really has a provision that in impact limits insurer earnings.
SEN. LINDSEY GRAHAM: “Under the Affordable Care Act, three states get 35 per cent of the money, folks. Can you name them? I’ll help you, California, New York and Massachusetts. They’re 22 per cent of the population. … Now, why did they get 35 per cent of the money when they are only 22 per cent of the population?” — Barrett affirmation listening to Tuesday.
THE FACTS: The South Carolina senator’s suggestion that Democrats designed the well being regulation to profit Democratic states is deceptive.
Big states with increased premiums and extra enrolment within the medical health insurance marketplaces get extra federal cash. But that’s pushed by variations in premiums between states and by the quantity of people that join taxpayer-subsidized protection.
Moreover, some states comparable to South Carolina get a lot much less federal cash below the well being regulation as a result of they selected to not develop Medicaid, the place the federal authorities picks up 90 per cent of the associated fee.
TRUMP: “We had the greatest economy in the history of our country.” — Miami discussion board.
THE FACTS: The numbers present it wasn’t the best in U.S. historical past.
Did the U.S. have essentially the most jobs on report earlier than the pandemic? Sure, the inhabitants had grown. The 3.5 per cent unemployment price earlier than the recession was at a half-century low, however the share of individuals working or looking for jobs was nonetheless beneath a 2000 peak.
Nobel Prize-winning economist Paul Romer checked out Trump’s financial development report this month. Growth below Trump averaged 2.48 per cent yearly earlier than the pandemic, solely barely higher than the two.41 per cent features achieved throughout Barack Obama’s second time period. By distinction, the financial enlargement that started in 1982 throughout Ronald Reagan’s presidency averaged 4.2 per cent a yr.
So Trump is incorrect.
BIDEN: “The crime bill itself did not have mandatory sentences, except for two things, it had three strikes and you’re out, which I voted against in the crime bill.” — ABC discussion board in Philadelphia on Thursday.
THE FACTS: That’s deceptive. Biden is understating the impression of the Clinton-era invoice and the affect he dropped at bear in getting it handed into regulation.
Biden wrote and voted for that sweeping 1994 crime invoice, which included cash for extra prisons, expanded the usage of the federal demise penalty and known as for a compulsory life sentence for three-time violent offenders — the so-called three strikes provision.
He did name the three-strikes rule “wacko” at one level, whilst he was serving to to put in writing the invoice. Whatever his reservations about sure provisions, he finally voted for the laws, which included the three-strikes rule and has come to be seen within the Black Lives Matter period as a heavy-handed and discriminatory instrument of the justice system.
TRUMP: “When I see thousands of ballots dumped in a garbage can and they happen to have my name on it? I’m not happy about it.” — Miami discussion board.
THE FACTS: Nobody has seen that. Contrary to Trump’s repeated, baseless assaults on voting safety, voting and election fraud is vanishingly uncommon. No instances involving 1000’s of ballots dumped within the trash have been reported on this election.
Trump has cited a case of army ballots marked for him being thrown within the trash in Pennsylvania as proof of a doable plot to steal the election. But he leaves out the small print: County election officers say that the seven ballots, together with two unopened ones, had been by chance tossed in an elections workplace in a Republican-controlled county by a single contract employee and that authorities had been swiftly known as.
The Brennan Center for Justice in 2017 ranked the danger of poll fraud at 0.00004 per cent to 0.0009 per cent, based mostly on research of previous elections.
In the 5 states that repeatedly ship ballots to all voters, there have been no main instances of fraud or problem counting the votes.
TRUMP: “We have the vaccines coming and we have the therapies coming.” — Miami discussion board.
THE FACTS: That’s the expectation, however not a certainty. The intense effort to develop vaccines and coverings has had each advances and setbacks.
Despite Trump’s repeated guarantees of an imminent vaccine, scientists say it’s unlikely that knowledge displaying a number one shot really works would come earlier than the election. Promising therapies are being tried.
A brand new examine led by the World Health Organization means that the antiviral drug remdesivir — among the many medication given to Trump — didn’t assist hospitalized COVID-19 sufferers. But that’s not the ultimate phrase on a drugs that turned the usual of care in lots of international locations after a U.S. examine discovered it sped restoration.
TRUMP: “One of the most important issues for Pennsylvania is the survival of your fracking industry. Joe Biden has repeatedly pledged to abolish fracking. He’s a liar. He’s a liar.” — remarks Tuesday at a rally in Johnstown, Pennsylvania.
THE FACTS: That’s false. Biden has repeatedly pledged to not abolish fracking. None of that has dissuaded the president from wholly distorting Biden’s place.
At one of many Democratic main debates, Biden misspoke when he addressed the topic, saying that if he turned president, there can be “no more — no new — fracking.” Biden’s marketing campaign shortly corrected his mistake.
Biden’s precise place is that he would ban new gasoline and oil permits, together with for fracking, on federal lands solely. The overwhelming majority of oil and gasoline doesn’t come from federal lands.
He’s hewed carefully to that middle-of-the-road place, going as far as to inform an anti-fracking activist that he “ought to vote for somebody else” if he was in a rush to see fracking abolished.
Fracking, or hydraulic fracturing, opened up a yearslong oil and gasoline growth in elements of the Southwest, High Plains and Northeast, together with battleground Pennsylvania. The approach went into widespread use in the course of the Obama-Biden administration.
Some liberal Democrats want Biden had been taking a harder line in opposition to fracking now. But he isn’t.
World Health Organization
TRUMP: “The World Health Organization just admitted that I was right. Lockdowns are killing countries all over the world. The cure cannot be worse than the problem itself. Open up your states, Democrat governors. Open up New York. A long battle, but they finally did the right thing!” — tweet Monday.
WHITE HOUSE: “Over the weekend, the World Health Organization officially changed their policy and strongly stated that prolonged lockdowns must end because of their significant harms.” — White House official in name Monday with reporters, talking on situation of anonymity.
THE FACTS: They’re twisting phrases out of context. The WHO has not shifted its place that nationwide stay-at-home orders or “lockdowns” ought to be thought of a measure of final resort to include the virus. Nor did it ever declare that Trump “was right” on his COVID-19 response.
Trump gave the impression to be referring to feedback made final week by Dr. David Nabarro, one in every of six particular envoys to the WHO on COVID-19. He advised the British journal The Spectator that lockdowns ought to be thought of as only one measure amongst many to regulate the virus, with an purpose to offer international locations “breathing space” to roll out different, higher anti-COVID measures.
“We in the World Health Organization do not advocate lockdowns as the primary means of control of this virus,” Nabarro stated. He added that lockdowns can solely be justified “to buy you time to reorganize, regroup, rebalance your resources, protect your health workers who are exhausted. But by and large, we’d rather not do it.”
Since declaring the coronavirus a pandemic in March, the WHO has stated that if international locations resolve to enter lockdown, it ought to be thought of momentary and they need to use the time to implement measures comparable to testing, tracing, informing native populations and selling bodily distancing.
The United Nations physique has been inconsistent at instances with its suggestions, comparable to masks sporting that it first opposed for most of the people. It has additionally lagged governments in pushing border closings. But on “stay at home” lockdown measures, it hasn’t modified.
Associated Press writers Amanda Seitz, David Klepper, Jude Joffe-Block, Ricardo Alonso-Zaldivar, Bill Barrow, Josh Boak, Darlene Superville, Kevin Freking and Jamey Keaten contributed to this report.
© 2020 The Canadian Press