Sunday, August 9, 2020
Home Health News The Coronavirus in America: The Year Ahead - TheDietWorld

The Coronavirus in America: The Year Ahead – TheDietWorld

Until a vaccine or another protective measure emerges, there is no scenario, epidemiologists agreed, in which it is safe for that many people to suddenly come out of hiding. If Americans pour back out in force, all will appear quiet for perhaps three weeks.

Then the emergency rooms will get busy again.

“There’s this magical thinking saying, ‘We’re all going to hunker down for a while and then the vaccine we need will be available,’” said Dr. Peter J. Hotez, dean of the National School of Tropical Medicine at Baylor College of Medicine.

In his wildly popular March 19 article in Medium, “Coronavirus: The Hammer and the Dance,” Tomas Pueyo correctly predicted the national lockdown, which he called the hammer, and said it would lead to a new phase, which he called the dance, in which essential parts of the economy could reopen, including some schools and some factories with skeleton crews.

Every epidemiological model envisions something like the dance. Each assumes the virus will blossom every time too many hosts emerge and force another lockdown. Then the cycle repeats. On the models, the curves of rising and falling deaths resemble a row of shark teeth.

Surges are inevitable, the models predict, even when stadiums, churches, theaters, bars and restaurants remain closed, all travelers from abroad are quarantined for 14 days, and domestic travel is tightly restricted to prevent high-intensity areas from reinfecting low-intensity ones.

The tighter the restrictions, experts say, the fewer the deaths and the longer the periods between lockdowns. Most models assume states will eventually do widespread temperature checks, rapid testing and contact tracing, as is routine in Asia.

Even the “Opening Up America Again” guidelines Mr. Trump issued on Thursday have three levels of social distancing, and recommend that vulnerable Americans stay hidden. The plan endorses testing, isolation and contact tracing — but does not specify how these measures will be paid for, or how long it will take to put them in place.

Source link

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here

Also Read This

World Coronavirus Tracker: Live Coverage

For some governments, a happy new milestone: a day with no new local cases.With social distancing and virus testing policies in place for months...

Many more Canadians going hungry as coronavirus pinches economy: StatsCan – National

The novel coronavirus has ravaged the national economy and more Canadians are going hungry as a result, Statistics Canada announced Wednesday.Food insecurity is sharply...

Certain metformin drugs recalled due to high levels of carcinogenic contaminant – National

Pharmaceutical company Apotex Inc. is recalling some of its diabetes medication after some was found to have elevated levels of a contaminant which has...

Canadians to get first glimpse of true COVID-19 infection rate in mid July – National

It will be much longer, however, before we know more about what kind of protection against future infection having the antibodies provides, said Dr....

CORONAVIRUS

COVID-19 Precautions 

  • Wash your hands frequently .
  • Maintain social distancing,
  • Avoid touching eyes, nose and mouth.
  • Practice respiratory hygiene.
GET LIVE UPDATE